Download e-book for iPad: 40 More Years. How the Democrats Will Rule the Next by James Carville

By James Carville

Every 4 years american citizens carry a presidential election. a person wins and someone loses. that is lifestyles. yet 2008 was once an anomaly. The election of President Barack Obama is set anything a ways higher than 4 or maybe 8 years within the White condominium. because 2004, americans were witnessing and collaborating within the emergence of a Democratic majority that would final now not 4 yet 40 years.

To comprehend the emergence of a long-lasting Democratic majority we will first need to spend a couple of moments reviewing the profound and incessant incompetence of the Bush management -- and the pursuant cave in of the Republican get together. that suggests in retrospect on the failure of Republican rules -- together with a wholesale rejection of the parable of conservative superiority at the financial system -- and conserving our noses lengthy adequate to survey the gallery of actually repellent scoundrels, scandals, and screwups that the Republican celebration has been answerable for over the past 8 years.

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In 2008, Americans weren’t really taking sides. They were taking side. In the fall of 2007, 40 percent of Americans identified themselves as independents in Gallup polls. By spring 2008, we saw the number of independents start to shrink. In June, only 36 percent thought of themselves as independent. In most years, polls show a rise in the party identification of both parties as independents take a stance. 3 In Step with Bush, Out of Step with the American People McCain kept trying to claim he was a “Change” Republican.

What seems to be escaping notice is just how serious the problems of the Republican Party as a whole are for the long term. It’s not just a Bush thing, and it’s not just about Republicans’ prospects in 2010, 2012, or 2014. I’ll review the impact of the youth blowback later, when we discuss youth voters. For now, let’s stick to the overview. Republicans know they tapped out their base strategy by 2006. An article by Tod Lindberg in the Weekly Standard in 2006 explained Republican strategy: The electoral strategy the 1994 results invited was the one Karl Rove successfully exploited in three elections before stumbling badly in the fourth this year: The way to win elections is to find your people and get them to the polls.

I certainly don’t know what exactly was in it, and I don’t know of anyone who’d let me borrow a copy as I was writing this book. The best authority on the content of the Matthew Dowd memo that I know of is Thomas Edsall, who wrote about it in Building Red America. Here’s Edsall’s summary of the momentous memo that sealed the fate of the Republicans in 2008 and beyond: Dowd analyzed poll data and found that the percentage of voters who could be classified as genuinely “swing” or persuadable voters had shrunk from roughly 24 percent of the electorate, to 6 percent or less.

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40 More Years. How the Democrats Will Rule the Next Generation by James Carville


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